Section III · Recommendation Performance

Track Record

Every idea the letter has published, tracked from its entry close. Wins and losses alike.
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As of 2026-10-16 close
Summary
15
Ideas published
75%
Target hit rate
3 / 1
Targets hit / stops hit
2 / 0
Open ideas up / down
10
New this week
+2.9%
Avg. result*
Over time

Average result by week

0%+0.0%Oct 9+2.9%Oct 16

Average result* of seasoned ideas at each weekly close. Grows by one point every week.

Chart

Result by pick

CVX 10-11+2.7%PG 10-11+2.0%TJX 10-11+6.2%NET 10-11-8.6%LW 10-11+11.9%COP 10-19+0.0%RTX 10-19+0.0%WMT 10-19+0.0%EL 10-19+0.0%UNH 10-19+0.0%TSM 10-19+0.0%MSFT 10-19+0.0%FICO 10-19+0.0%HUM 10-19+0.0%NKE 10-19+0.0%Solid = closed, faded = open (marked to last close)
By issue

Average result per issue

Issue (log date)IdeasAvg. result
2026-10-115+2.9%
Full record

Every published idea

IssuePickHorizonEntryExitLastResultStatus
2026-10-11Chevron (CVX)swing (trade idea)$211.98$217.78$224.99+2.7%closed-target
2026-10-11Procter & Gamble (PG)swing (trade idea)$151.23$154.32$159.35+2.0%closed-target
2026-10-11The TJX Companies (TJX)swing (trade idea)$138.76—$147.33+6.2%open (T1 $144.50 hit 2026-10-15)
2026-10-11Cloudflare (NET)swing (trade idea)$360.93$330.00$296.30-8.6%closed-stop
2026-10-11Lamb Weston (LW)swing (trade idea)$47.87—$53.59+11.9%open
2026-10-19ConocoPhillips (COP)short-term$146.51—$146.51+0.0%open
2026-10-19RTX (RTX)short-term$193.92—$193.92+0.0%open
2026-10-19Walmart (WMT)short-term$118.81—$118.81+0.0%open
2026-10-19Estee Lauder (EL)short-term$104.54—$104.54+0.0%open
2026-10-19UnitedHealth Group (UNH)short-term$401.43—$401.43+0.0%open
2026-10-19Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)long-term$412.61—$412.61+0.0%open
2026-10-19Microsoft (MSFT)long-term$529.05—$529.05+0.0%open
2026-10-19Fair Isaac (FICO)long-term$771.19—$771.19+0.0%open
2026-10-19Humana (HUM)long-term$413.16—$413.16+0.0%open
2026-10-19Nike (NKE)long-term$37.13—$37.13+0.0%open

Result = exit price for closed ideas, last close (2026-10-16) for open ones, vs. entry close. Source: the letter's recommendation log.

Notes

*Average of closed ideas at exit and seasoned open ideas at the 2026-10-16 close. Ideas entered at the 2026-10-16 close are excluded until they have a week of history. Target hit rate = ideas that reached a target (including an open idea whose first target was hit) / (those plus ideas stopped out). Open ideas up / down counts seasoned open ideas above or below their entry close. New this week = ideas entered at the 2026-10-16 close, not yet counted.